As someone who wants to make better decisions, I’m enjoying the book Thinking in Bets: Making smarter decisions when you don’t have all the facts. It’s written by Annie Duke, who was a successful professional poker...
At the heart of luck is uncertainty. Uncertainty makes life interesting. Uncertainty can involve pitfalls, but it can also create opportunities. This book explores how to manage uncertainty – by maximising good luck and...
We can implement strategies and organise our life to maximise the probability and impact of good luck and minimise the probability and impact of bad luck. This article summarises some of the ways we...
You can’t force opportunities. But you can be ready for when opportunity arrives. If you leave the door of your house a minute late, you’ll only be a minute later to your destination, right?...
The concept of the “multiverse” is a wicked idea. According to Wikipedia: The multiverse (or meta-universe) is the hypothetical set of possible universes, including the universe in which we live. Together, these universes comprise...
Dan Gardner’s book Future Babble: Why expert predictions fail and why we believe them anyway (or alternatively subtitled How to stop worrying and love the unpredictable) is a terrific book. (In fact, anything by...
Apple recently celebrated the 10th anniversary of the announcement of the iPhone. The iPhone, and smart phones as we know them, are now so pervasive and central to the lives of so many that...
We live in a fantastic time. Consider Johan Norberg’s recent article in The Spectator – “Why can’t see see that we’re living a golden age?”: If you think that there has never been a...
Diversification is fundamental to a sound investment strategy. It’s the closest thing to a free lunch there is. This is true in other domains of life as well. Consider: The difference between having a...
For most people, it’s fairly easy – and natural – to think of ourselves or others as moral or ethical people. Or otherwise. It’s an internal trait, that’s largely independent of context or circumstances. Right? But…...