[I wrote this article in early 2020, before COVID-19. I’ve reflected on my personal ...

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Low probability events shape our lives, more than you'd think.The probability of being born ...

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Remember 2017? It feels like decades ago. There was a time in 2017 when ...

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Scarce things tend to be valuable.Sometimes there's no rational reason for this. As Robert ...

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I think “risk management” just become sexy. My impression is that most people have ...

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I love books that swing for the fences. They almost always include things I ...

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Trying to predict the future is hard. And in some ways, it's impossible. But ...

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As someone who wants to make better decisions, I’m enjoying the book Thinking in Bets: ...

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At the heart of luck is uncertainty. Uncertainty makes life interesting. Uncertainty can involve ...

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We can implement strategies and organise our life to maximise the probability and impact ...

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