Low probability events shape our lives, more than you'd think.The probability of being born ...

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Scarce things tend to be valuable.Sometimes there's no rational reason for this. As Robert ...

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I think “risk management” just become sexy. My impression is that most people have ...

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It’s not fun being asset poor and cash poor. It’s rarely fun to be ...

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Pandemics terrify me.I'm pretty sure that in my lifetime there will be a major ...

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Ethics is interesting The topics of ethics and morality, in the abstract, elicit eye-rolls ...

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I love books that swing for the fences. They almost always include things I ...

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* I use the term “futurologist” entirely tongue-in-cheek.  In the spirit of taking a ...

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Trying to predict the future is hard. And in some ways, it's impossible. But ...

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